Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 78.936311 87.780746 96.899325 106.980841 117.792347 129.016923 141.529221
2025-01-26 66.430708 79.585215 93.844959 110.355871 128.850281 148.834208 171.964693
2025-02-02 59.187358 74.649274 91.990263 112.687802 136.525096 162.929724 194.196787
2025-02-09 52.830014 69.809926 89.441209 113.501503 141.877293 173.969945 212.692999
2025-02-16 49.367230 67.864643 89.802095 117.280139 150.312886 188.294373 234.801562
2025-02-23 45.408294 64.875919 88.538181 118.793668 155.820189 199.045173 252.684941
2025-03-02 40.526199 60.283197 84.915001 117.076335 157.144178 204.626285 264.322968
2025-03-09 36.672827 56.684487 82.237073 116.252413 159.324764 211.060560 276.865419
2025-03-16 33.593361 53.855992 80.317851 116.180799 162.272808 218.314895 290.342828
2025-03-23 32.214772 53.224352 81.170419 119.595356 169.567625 230.914315 310.404140
2025-03-30 30.044964 51.313129 80.176135 120.483437 173.568532 239.401451 325.435400
2025-04-06 27.996036 49.418165 79.070455 121.110561 177.152974 247.329287 339.783358
2025-04-13 24.922655 45.846179 75.524992 118.384606 176.359364 249.798156 347.480058
2025-04-20 24.168065 45.721146 76.799401 122.231144 184.276120 263.462967 369.443015
2025-04-27 23.068176 44.970040 77.107294 124.693331 190.331214 274.756400 388.467305
2025-05-04 21.606968 43.537689 76.336329 125.577878 194.226395 283.254044 403.970231
2025-05-11 21.125445 43.646340 77.812732 129.636906 202.454427 297.459165 426.909717
2025-05-18 20.039768 42.677624 77.616567 131.263251 207.341857 307.304953 444.289351
2025-05-25 18.175890 40.256951 75.094820 129.418279 207.354316 310.661643 453.229320
2025-06-01 16.691759 38.373213 73.294880 128.532990 208.627467 315.648001 464.283883
2025-06-08 15.503206 36.919543 72.087946 128.456030 210.987595 322.068886 477.235887
2025-06-15 15.191893 37.038937 73.376481 132.124223 218.685128 335.738022 499.853884
2025-06-22 14.341194 36.091860 72.893706 133.077924 222.496090 344.158957 515.565614